16 December 2009 8:06a Pacific

Amazon’s core competency? Pricing.

by Matt Sherman

I think it’s quite brilliant that Amazon has introduced spot pricing for servers. Great way to exploit unutilized CPUs and bring prices down. Nicholas Carr explains it in utility terms:

At the end of the nineteenth century, Samuel Insull, president of the then-tiny Chicago Edison, started the electric utility revolution when he had the counterintuitive realization that to make more money his company had to cut its prices drastically, at least for those customers whose patterns of electricity use would help the utility maximize its capacity utilization.

Amazon Web Services is emerging as the Chicago Edison of utility computing.

I seem to recall Sun predicting this many, many years ago. And yet while they were right in broad terms, for all that “insight”, Sun didn’t even come close to executing on the idea.

(Btw, you might recognize the Insull name if you’ve read The Forgotten Man.)

It’s very surprising that Amazon, the bookseller, would be the company to lead the way. If you believed in the utility computing vision 10 years ago, and were asked to predict the winners, would Amazon have even come to mind…?

The truth is, Amazon is not simply a bookseller, or even a retailer per se. What Amazon has mastered is making money in low-margin, inventory-driven businesses. Of course their technical and operational execution is excellent, but that’s table stakes. Their core competency is pricing.

--

Update: A quick explanation of spot pricing, by request. Let’s say Amazon is running 10,000 servers. A customer can rent time on those servers at a standard hourly rate, let’s say $0.50/hour.

Of course, not all of Amazon’s hardware will be used all the time. So let’s say on average, only 40% of their capacity is being used. 60% of Amazon’s infrastructure, which costs them plenty, is not earning money.

Students of economics know that those unused servers are not simply “unwanted” by customers. They are unwanted at that price.

Amazon says, OK, since we’re earning $0.00 on that unused inventory, let’s see if we can get something more than nothing. Let’s drop the price on the unused capacity until people buy. That price will vary, in real-time, based on supply and demand. It might be $0.30/hr or it might be $0.45. That’s the spot price.

The customer trade-off for the lower price is that they don’t know in advance what the price (or supply) will be. In this case, Amazon has set a mechanism for a customer to say what price they will pay; when the spot price is lower, the customer’s server will be activated automatically. If the spot price is higher, the server shuts down and the customer pays nothing.

--

Oh, and if you want a “ticker” to see how the spot prices are trending, here you go:

cloudexchange

Comments

16 December 2009 9:47a Pacific #

markd
We hear/talk about Apple/MS/Google, but I think the next big fight might be between Amazon and WalMart as they leverage their incredible respective infrastructures in new or previously unprofitable ways.

markd Canada |

16 December 2009 10:34a Pacific #

what
good post wrong conclusion

what United States |

16 December 2009 11:08a Pacific #

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Social comments and analytics for this post

This post was mentioned on Twitter by hrjn_rss: Amazon's core competency? Pricing.: Comments http://url4.eu/wcir

uberVU - social comments |

16 December 2009 11:09a Pacific #

Mister Bytes
For now the fight between Amazon and WalMart seems to be primarily one realized by the press. With Walmart being much more global and 20 times as cash heavy, not to mention picking up their game on the web.

I found the best price for a new gas BBQ grill and cover at Walmart, which included free shipping, so I ordered it online. It arrived inside of 5 days from order in perfect condition. That of course speaks to their seemingly ubiquitous locations and mastered supply chain capabilities.

But, will "Walmart" ever be the new tech hot spot the top grads want to work for? I dunno. Outside of Bezos' vision, Amazon's years as a top recruiter really helped establish them as this leader of technological innovation.




Mister Bytes United States |

16 December 2009 2:14p Pacific #

Andre Sammartino
To demonstrate that spot pricing is a CORE competency you would need to show that it is applied ACROSS their businesses. Where's the evidence they use it much in books sales, music etc?

Andre Sammartino Australia |

16 December 2009 2:33p Pacific #

Dan Grossman
He said their core competency is pricing, not spot pricing.

Dan Grossman United States |

16 December 2009 2:37p Pacific #

Matt Sherman
I don't contend they are using the spot bidding process in other areas. That would be cool, though.

What I am saying is that Amazon focuses keenly on pricing, hour by hour. Every time I check my cart (which I fill up over the course of several weeks), I learn that several items' prices has changed, often by mere cents. This particularly evident in items with constrained supply, like the Intel SSD that I recently bought -- it was as high as $399 and as low as $236 over the course of a few weeks.

Matt Sherman United States |

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